Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 5.924950 6.530504 7.176255 7.916989 8.744277 9.641009 10.688231
2025-12-07 4.918265 5.732546 6.656472 7.785890 9.133945 10.697120 12.655333
2025-12-14 4.118344 5.036653 6.136123 7.557238 9.356607 11.573719 14.535003
2025-12-21 3.569398 4.556900 5.797671 7.484838 9.740212 12.680679 16.852876
2025-12-28 3.224527 4.282241 5.671773 7.652763 10.439960 14.274881 20.043444
2026-01-04 2.928103 4.029792 5.536884 7.780822 11.091339 15.881979 23.498491
2026-01-11 2.648188 3.763224 5.345318 7.795918 11.572372 17.299134 26.889764
2026-01-18 2.388907 3.494156 5.115025 7.717835 11.892821 18.504902 30.131394
2026-01-25 2.160956 3.244901 4.883261 7.602969 12.130751 19.599015 33.350528
2026-02-01 1.962943 3.019539 4.661611 7.472740 12.318189 20.622248 36.597846
2026-02-08 1.790022 2.815533 4.450879 7.332014 12.462672 21.579408 39.867259
2026-02-15 1.657709 2.663633 4.307950 7.286412 12.761328 22.840863 43.913415
2026-02-22 1.570006 2.579821 4.274089 7.434592 13.443977 24.936885 50.065413
2026-03-01 1.456226 2.441120 4.132563 7.372409 13.724317 26.301787 54.960082
2026-03-08 1.337433 2.282990 3.941715 7.196786 13.761102 27.184480 58.972738
2026-03-15 1.250673 2.173885 3.828210 7.154772 14.057559 28.643804 64.581767
2026-03-22 1.201763 2.128866 3.827691 7.332860 14.830306 31.238932 73.432637
2026-03-29 1.151253 2.076211 3.807307 7.467651 15.527619 33.773880 82.683558
2026-04-05 1.091805 2.001426 3.737070 7.490685 15.980967 35.815897 91.099248
2026-04-12 1.027402 1.911722 3.629295 7.421770 16.215930 37.372097 98.538347
2026-04-19 0.964745 1.820453 3.510383 7.315643 16.349905 38.699737 105.631429
2026-04-26 0.905840 1.732132 3.389998 7.193437 16.429540 39.902043 112.636561
2026-05-03 0.850776 1.647482 3.270256 7.060251 16.465353 40.996350 119.574874